Brian Monteith: Recovery plan doomed to fail
David Cameron and George Osborne are up a gum tree and cannot come down. Unemployment is slowly climbing up and there is unfortunately no end to this trend yet in site. The number of public sector jobs being lost due to the vital deficit reduction is greater than the number of new jobs being created by the private sector.
Meanwhile, inflation grows while those on fixed incomes, such as pensions, cannot avoid the growing cost of living. People are clearing their debts rather than spending – the Christmas sales will come early as a retail catastrophe beckons.
The Tories’ Plan A for economic recovery is failing – their only saving grace is that Labour’s Plan B (or the SNP’s Plan McB) or Plan C, D or E would all be much worse as the international markets would punish our lack of resolve.
The truth is that Plan A was always insufficient to cure the problems that the Conservative and Liberal Democrat coalition inherited.
This is for four reasons – not one which the Labour Party, no matter who leads it, can address.
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Firstly, in attempting to make the Conservatives look caring, compassionate and, therefore, electable, George Osborne has always rejected the very incentives that encourage economic growth – competitive tax rates that give our businesses an advantage and attract other investors to our shores.
Secondly, having delivered a deficit reduction plan that did not make room to provide the necessary incentives such as lower taxes for business and people with capital, it is now nigh impossible to introduce further public spending cuts when the public is beginning to think the current regime is already too strict (even though it’s less than one per cent of government spending).
Thirdly, the economic policies of the eurozone and the US (which resemble Labour’s Plan B) are making the world economic climate worse. Having ignored the necessary public spending cuts that Britain has followed, the scale of the debt is swallowing up whole economies such as Greece, Ireland, Italy and Portugal while the US is becalmed. Had Obama and European leaders been less worried about being loved, the British economy would not be at risk of stagnating as demand for our goods and services would be higher.
Fourthly, and most crucially, even if the Conservatives find the wherewithal to act by going all out for economic growth they will be prevented by the Liberal Democrats who would rather put their vindictive belief in punishing high earners who create jobs before the national interest and the relief of poverty.
The Lib Dems cannot bring themselves to admit their guilt about wealth creation is misplaced – that would remove the second leg from their bar stool (the first being that they were more trustworthy than other politicians – but then along came tuition fees). The Lib Dems would then topple over and never get back up.
None of this should come as a surprise for the foundations of this catastrophe were laid down many years ago by Gordon Brown when he spent beyond his means.
Economic recovery will be a slow process, but as usual it will not be our political leaders who pay.
Truth about Fox
THE media is all a flutter about the strange goings-on surrounding Defence Secretary Dr Liam Fox, a son of East Kilbride. The focus has been on the number of times that Adam Werrity, his good friend, former flatmate and best man at his wedding, has followed Fox to meetings all over the world and regularly popped in on him at the Ministry of Defence.
Despite the legitimate concerns about any conflicts of interest, possible financial benefits that may have accrued to Mr Werrity, or breaches of national security, it is noticeable from the tone of the reporting that the media want to know more about the personal relationship between the two men – but are strangely too afraid to ask. It is the elephant in the room.
Contrast this with the almost gushing treatment of the openly lesbian Scottish Tory leadership contender Ruth Davidson and we can witness a modern phenomenon – it is easier to be publicly gay than to be privately heterosexual, even if one is a married man.
This is because sexual preferences are not really what the media are desperate to discover; no, what is important in modern public life is whether or not there is any deception of the public – any breach of faith about what a man or a woman says he is.
Thus, Tommy Sheridan was brought down for presenting a false image and then repeatedly lying about it for his financial benefit.
Now the spotlight is on Liam Fox, not just to see if he has broken the ministerial code but to see if he has presented a false image to the public about his family life.
For Liam Fox’s sake I hope and trust he has nothing to hide for, although I don’t think the public really care about what he does in his private life, the media will be less forgiving than if Ruth Davidson were to suddenly take up with a man.