Rent controls put off investors who are crucial to meeting the city's housing shortages - John McLellan

Gorgie’s very own Wolfie Smith, Cllr Ross McKenzie, took me to task for my criticism of rent controls, alleging I haven’t thought about what happens to properties if landlords decide to leave the market.
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As costs soar but rents stand still then, yes, selling up is inevitable, but into a market where supply is already short. In October, the average first-time buyer paid £267,000.

Let’s pessimistically assume a market crash next year on a par with 2009, where the dip reached 16% but recovered after a year. That would briefly push prices down to around £225,000, but first-time buyers would still need an £11,000 deposit. At least.

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So, your landlord serves you notice, but you can’t find somewhere to rent because the market has shrunk. You need to raise that deposit if you are lucky enough to find a property at that price and a lender prepared to give you a 95% mortgage.

But the biggest problem of rent freezes is not small-scale private rentals, but putting off investors who are crucial to meeting the overall shortages at a scale which will make a difference.

I’m told interest in two Edinburgh schemes involving build-to-rent ─ a vital tool for social housing ─ is stalling because as construction costs, so to speak, go through the roof, the numbers don’t stack up.

The rent freeze legislation is temporary, but investors have a choice, and by the time they are lifted the money could have gone elsewhere. Aren’t rent controls wonderful?

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